British PM May seen 13 seats short of majority - YouGov

British Prime Minister Theresa May's Conservatives See Poll Lead Narrow Again

Data collected by YouGov suggested that the Tories could lose up to 20 of the 330 seats they held in the last parliament, and Labour could gain nearly 30 seats.

In addition to increasing costs of healthcare for the elderly, May ditched a pledge to ban ivory trading and said she's "always been in favor of fox hunting", claiming that other ways of killing foxes are "cruel".

The gains didn't last long, however, as a separate YouGov poll on Wednesday night showed the Conservatives had a slender 3 point lead over Labour. Some political experts even said the Conservative's main opposition, the Labour party, is showing "brutal" numbers.

The sharp reaction suggests that the currency markets are not prepared for a hung parliament, given all other polls have been pointing to a victory for May on June 8.

Sterling already fell around 2 per cent last week after polls showed the Conservatives' lead over Labour had shrunk from as much as 20 points in April.

The 2015 election led to the first majority Conservative government for 18 years - and she would have thrown that power away in the space of two years.

With parties required to reach 326 seats in the House of Commons to establish a majority, the recent predictions point towards a hung parliament.

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Meanwhile, on the next Prime Minster market Theresa May is at the longest odds she has been since calling the election at 2/13, but still clearly ahead of Jeremy Corbyn who is at 13/2.

She gave no answer, but said the election was a crucial choice, with her promising to negotiate the best Brexit deal for Britain when negotiations start with Brussels just days after the election.

The seat range for the Tories is 274 to 345, with the central estimate being 310 seats - down from the 330 they had before the snap election campaign.

"We doubt that the Times/YouGov research is giving us the true picture about how many seats each party will win on June 8th", Kathleen Brooks, EMEA Research Director at City Index, wrote in a note.

The pollsters assessed the intentions of every type of voter, including where they live to how they voted in the European Union referendum, their age and their social backgrounds. "It's also an exciting time - the Greens could play a very pivotal role in what comes out after this election".

The poll, commissioned by The Times, found the Conservative lead had slipped dramatically in recent weeks and is now within the margin of error.



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